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Red8
142113.1
22210.3
4423.0
Blue2
3481.2
20601.5
18180.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11130203040506082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.10.4
9.49.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
2060
#18
1.50.8
-0.1-0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
442
#28
3.00.4
2.42.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
348
#32
1.20.8
9.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2221
#23
0.30.0
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1818
#31
0.50.8
2.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End