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Red4
16835.6
21903.3
35711.1
Blue2
18582.5
20651.5
6475.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10140203040506042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
357
#25
11.10.5
6.35.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
647
#22
5.30.9
6.25.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1683
#34
5.60.5
2.62.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1858
#21
2.50.9
4.23.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2190
#14
3.30.5
1.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
2065
#20
1.50.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End