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Red43
207915.3
12628.4
168610.6
Blue0
20845.6
17353.7
1553.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33350100150430

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
126
#3
28.41.0
28.829.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 22.8
2084
#39
5.65.4
5.60.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
15.316.0
17.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.7
1735
#31
3.70.5
1.40.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1686
#11
10.61.1
0.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
155
#46
3.20.5
4.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End