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Red4
4675.6
13506.3
20097.9
Blue70
140326.8
6939.9
207915.3
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78350100150200470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2009
#18
7.91.1
8.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 32.0
69
#4
39.90.2
34.534.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1350
#30
6.31.1
3.92.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 20.6
1403
#12
26.80.2
28.528.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
467
#19
5.60.6
4.43.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.7
15.30.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End