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Red16
19650.4
13506.3
17315.7
Blue23
971.9
16859.9
21243.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29190501001501623

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
173
#25
15.70.6
19.919.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1685
#34
9.90.1
13.013.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1350
#30
6.31.0
5.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2124
#21
3.70.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1965
#17
0.40.9
2.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
97
#20
1.90.2
4.44.6
Auto
Teleop
End