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Red40
8812.0
1831-0.0
197322.4
Blue6
21273.8
110011.7
168610.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42270100150200406

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1973
#10
22.40.0
26.826.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.7
1100
#16
11.71.8
15.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
88
#8
12.00.0
12.512.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
1686
#11
10.61.8
11.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1831
#42
-0.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
2127
#22
3.81.9
2.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End