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Qual 312007 Chesapeake Regional
Red40
11114.6
17520.4
21995.6
Blue8
1225.4
18930.3
13894.8
69%Model gave it31%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33550100150408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#24
20.40.6
23.0→23.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 15.0
122
#37
5.40.0
5.4→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
2199
#11
5.60.9
-1.7→-0.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.9
1389
#38
4.80.0
2.0→2.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1111
#33
4.60.9
8.1→9.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.3
1893
#47
0.30.0
0.7→0.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—