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Qual 322007 Chesapeake Regional
Red4
61215.1
1446-2.4
18865.7
Blue10
1849-1.9
11846.5
29327.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17210406080100410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#22
15.10.8
13.8→13.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 12.4
293
#1
27.60.6
12.9→12.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1886
#42
5.71.1
5.1→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.8
1184
#15
6.50.6
7.1→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1446
#48
-2.41.1
-1.4→-2.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.5
1849
#58
-1.90.9
0.3→-0.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—