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Red98
61310.9
167623.2
10322.8
Blue4
16727.3
5555.6
1021.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16160406080984

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.26.8
3.810.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.9
1672
#46
7.30.9
-0.7-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
103
#13
22.86.8
13.119.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.3
555
#53
5.60.9
8.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
613
#7
10.96.8
0.06.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
102
#58
1.00.9
7.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End