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Qual 142007 New Jersey Regional
Red30
1655.2
1727-1.9
6946.3
Blue0
136-1.2
1689-2.4
637-0.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16150100150300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#17
6.31.3
5.0→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
637
#43
-0.40.3
1.8→1.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
165
#29
5.21.3
3.8→5.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.3
136
#56
-1.20.3
2.0→1.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
1727
#40
-1.91.3
5.6→6.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 0.4
1689
#45
-2.40.3
-0.7→-1.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—