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Red64
8423.4
20903.6
142531.6
Blue4
198315.3
5974.7
11107.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29190406080100120140644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.8
25.026.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.3
1983
#40
15.31.3
7.86.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2090
#15
3.63.0
0.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
1110
#44
7.41.3
1.40.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
842
#34
3.41.8
2.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
597
#38
4.71.1
10.89.8
Auto
Teleop
End