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Red2
16316.7
8156.6
190613.6
Blue0
13243.2
21398.0
43.1
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101102030405060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1906
#14
13.60.8
0.6-0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
2139
#25
8.00.8
0.90.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1631
#18
6.70.8
-0.1-0.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1324
#30
3.20.7
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
815
#28
6.60.7
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
4
#22
3.10.8
6.05.2
Auto
Teleop
End