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Red30
54813.7
941.4
15287.4
Blue2
18722.8
12742.1
30614.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202101030405060302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
548
#2
13.70.5
15.015.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
306
#51
14.40.9
15.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1528
#10
7.40.6
4.14.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
1872
#20
2.80.9
1.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
94
#23
1.40.8
1.72.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1274
#53
2.11.5
3.11.6
Auto
Teleop
End