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Red2
156610.1
21920.7
48812.5
Blue0
22226.4
15692.2
4927.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1517010203040506020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#6
12.51.2
12.811.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
492
#51
7.71.3
9.07.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1566
#32
10.11.2
2.61.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
2222
#40
6.41.3
7.25.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2192
#14
0.71.2
0.7-0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1569
#53
2.21.3
-0.6-1.9
Auto
Teleop
End