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Red4
15716.6
22499.7
7538.8
Blue16
15956.3
22734.4
8476.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2815050100150200250416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2249
#35
9.71.9
2.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.4
847
#19
6.30.1
8.88.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
753
#49
8.81.9
14.212.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1595
#33
6.30.1
7.87.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.61.9
9.27.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2273
#21
4.40.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End