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Red4
20107.4
1840.5
3788.8
Blue6
19986.1
3796.5
29118.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1415010203040506046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
378
#30
8.80.9
10.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 9.4
291
#8
18.10.7
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2010
#11
7.40.9
2.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
379
#13
6.50.7
4.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
184
#27
0.50.9
2.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
6.10.7
-0.8-1.5
Auto
Teleop
End