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Red0
20516.4
103817.3
2478.5
Blue17
22802.8
22212.4
100810.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18190103040506070017

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.31.7
12.510.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
222
#24
12.40.1
11.411.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
247
#16
8.51.7
7.45.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
1008
#20
10.50.1
3.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2051
#32
6.41.7
0.0-1.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.6
2280
#18
2.80.1
3.13.1
Auto
Teleop
End