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Red4
22212.4
3955.4
19904.9
Blue16
30614.4
16430.5
1172.0
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24110406080100120140416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#24
12.41.3
10.79.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
306
#17
14.40.2
12.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
395
#35
5.41.3
7.15.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
117
#25
2.00.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1990
#31
4.91.3
4.73.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
1643
#23
0.50.2
-0.6-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End