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Red19
21028.9
15722.4
58514.3
Blue8
15667.8
219312.1
9808.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24440100150198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
585
#10
14.30.4
16.115.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
2193
#21
12.12.8
16.914.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2102
#24
8.90.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
980
#44
8.31.7
12.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1572
#15
2.40.6
5.14.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
1566
#16
7.81.7
11.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End