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Red2
8422.3
19170.9
16822.0
Blue30
126616.0
6913.4
2154-6.5
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4200406080100230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#43
2.30.2
5.14.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.7
1266
#14
16.00.6
17.117.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1682
#41
2.00.4
0.2-0.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
691
#11
3.40.6
4.65.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1917
#29
0.90.2
1.10.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.4
2154
#37
-6.51.0
-3.3-2.4
Auto
Teleop
End