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Red13
53719.7
21433.5
206211.7
Blue4
173215.6
12595.8
22393.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713020406080100120140134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#11
19.71.1
11.710.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
1732
#35
15.60.9
9.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
11.71.1
10.08.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1259
#33
5.80.9
4.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2143
#17
3.51.1
4.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2239
#37
3.30.9
0.5-0.4
Auto
Teleop
End