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Red2
21534.8
17160.9
15254.7
Blue32
20470.7
22274.6
93017.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617010304050607080232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2153
#27
4.80.4
1.91.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.2
930
#19
17.01.4
10.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1525
#52
4.70.4
6.56.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2227
#21
4.61.4
3.85.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1716
#48
0.90.4
-1.4-1.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2047
#16
0.71.4
0.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End