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Red60
115322.7
207916.6
17334.0
Blue20
57115.2
1259.3
55519.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414701001502006020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1153
Unranked
22.70.9
22.022.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
555
Unranked
19.71.3
19.618.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2079
Unranked
16.60.9
16.517.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
571
Unranked
15.21.3
17.115.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1733
Unranked
4.00.9
3.74.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.3
125
Unranked
9.31.3
9.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End