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Red40
47615.3
159825.7
169014.4
Blue56
164613.5
198719.2
70121.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5742020801001201404056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1598
#17
25.71.1
21.120.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
701
#28
21.20.6
16.216.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
#83
15.30.7
16.515.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
1987
#16
19.20.8
14.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1690
#41
14.40.8
17.116.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1646
#69
13.50.6
13.213.9
Auto
Teleop
End