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Red74
262417.7
32220.3
38621.9
Blue42
23615.2
49912.9
33730.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5756203040507080901007442

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#65
21.90.9
20.521.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.5
337
#12
30.40.7
29.328.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
322
#44
20.31.0
17.818.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.1
236
#56
15.20.7
16.515.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2624
#30
17.70.9
17.818.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
499
#85
12.90.7
10.910.1
Auto
Teleop
End