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Red56
55521.1
59912.1
36535.1
Blue70
29229.3
237714.6
46116.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions755102040601001201401605670

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#10
35.10.8
33.833.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
292
#8
29.30.8
25.926.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
555
#60
21.10.8
27.526.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
461
#43
16.40.8
14.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
599
#58
12.10.8
10.59.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2377
#39
14.60.9
13.514.4
Auto
Teleop
End