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Red62
121828.0
260421.7
251816.6
Blue30
169014.4
126122.2
198719.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67622040801001206230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1218
#24
28.00.2
27.126.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
1261
#34
22.21.6
23.922.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2604
#25
21.70.2
21.821.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1987
#16
19.21.6
21.019.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2518
#36
16.60.2
17.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
1690
#41
14.41.6
17.616.0
Auto
Teleop
End