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Red52
164613.5
84218.6
208126.3
Blue90
150423.9
190221.1
244914.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58573040507080905290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.3
25.124.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1504
#27
23.91.7
22.324.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
842
#79
18.60.3
19.118.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
1902
#15
21.11.7
21.022.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1646
#69
13.50.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2449
#82
14.81.8
13.515.4
Auto
Teleop
End