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Red44
19778.1
18475.6
124510.6
Blue22
16916.9
24009.8
25437.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2118010304050604422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
#20
10.62.0
6.58.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
2400
#17
9.80.3
6.46.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1977
#41
8.12.0
6.38.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2543
#13
7.30.2
6.26.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.62.0
7.59.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1691
#42
6.90.3
5.76.0
Auto
Teleop
End