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Red20
22508.1
13777.3
17999.6
Blue48
20369.2
17648.2
199621.1
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233204060802048

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1799
#14
9.60.3
7.67.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
1996
#11
21.11.3
16.317.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2250
#18
8.10.3
8.48.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2036
#24
9.21.5
8.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1377
#16
7.30.3
7.77.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
8.21.5
6.07.5
Auto
Teleop
End