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Red50
199621.1
155213.5
20837.8
Blue10
22406.4
17896.8
18475.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4323060805010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1996
#11
21.10.6
17.518.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 14.4
1789
#37
6.81.3
10.69.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1552
#22
13.50.8
10.511.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2240
#39
6.41.3
5.54.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
7.80.8
12.713.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
5.61.3
9.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End