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Red0
13489.1
13612.4
171014.0
Blue28
22508.1
24009.8
20369.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252401020304050028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.01.6
9.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
2400
#17
9.80.3
6.77.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1348
#26
9.12.0
7.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2036
#24
9.20.3
9.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1361
#40
2.42.0
6.44.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
2250
#18
8.10.3
8.18.4
Auto
Teleop
End