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Red24
13757.9
44313.4
158310.2
Blue18
13398.5
19778.1
135712.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242310152030352418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
443
#19
13.40.0
9.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1357
#33
12.20.5
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1583
#21
10.20.0
7.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1339
#25
8.50.5
9.38.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1375
#36
7.90.0
7.37.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1977
#41
8.10.5
6.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End