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Red60
155213.5
159224.3
124510.6
Blue50
14107.6
17859.2
199621.1
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070806050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.31.2
19.220.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1996
#11
21.10.9
18.119.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1552
#22
13.51.7
11.313.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
1785
#38
9.20.9
9.410.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1245
#20
10.61.7
8.710.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1410
#34
7.61.2
7.78.9
Auto
Teleop
End