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Red28
108919.2
149316.3
20647.9
Blue70
178413.9
87017.7
206710.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33250204060802870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1089
#36
19.20.3
14.514.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
870
#4
17.73.6
7.711.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1493
#22
16.30.3
11.811.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
1784
#32
13.93.6
7.911.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2064
#37
7.90.3
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2067
#40
10.03.6
10.814.4
Auto
Teleop
End