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Red0
123017.9
16405.4
17336.4
Blue20
217010.6
26216.9
115511.6
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2423010304050607080020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#11
17.92.0
8.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
1155
#25
11.60.3
13.112.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1733
#54
6.42.0
7.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
2170
#21
10.60.3
3.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1640
#51
5.42.0
8.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
2621
#24
6.90.3
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End