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Red76
203810.4
159231.6
260918.3
Blue62
6778.0
34825.2
193921.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504302060801001207662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.4
24.325.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
348
#60
25.20.9
22.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2609
#41
18.31.5
15.016.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
1939
#34
21.31.4
16.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2038
#73
10.42.0
9.711.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
677
#83
8.01.2
5.06.2
Auto
Teleop
End