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Red20
124515.6
131111.8
186012.9
Blue26
198915.6
24297.8
24546.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29310204060801002026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1245
#32
15.60.6
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1989
#44
15.60.3
16.215.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1860
#65
12.90.6
8.47.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2429
#58
7.80.3
5.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
#81
11.80.7
9.99.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
2454
#74
6.90.3
9.39.0
Auto
Teleop
End