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Red66
141825.7
173214.7
153317.1
Blue42
156614.9
131111.8
147726.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525130406070806642

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1418
#18
25.70.9
22.723.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1477
#68
26.20.5
26.926.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1533
#24
17.10.9
17.618.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
1566
#66
14.90.5
14.213.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1732
#56
14.70.7
11.211.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
1311
#81
11.80.7
10.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End