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Red116
159910.8
159231.6
217133.1
Blue38
138610.7
24546.9
151130.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6547020408010012014011638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2171
#33
33.12.6
31.734.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
1511
#35
30.50.6
29.929.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
31.62.6
26.529.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.9
1386
#79
10.70.6
10.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1599
#71
10.83.2
4.98.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2454
#74
6.90.6
9.08.4
Auto
Teleop
End