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Qual 152008 Florida Regional
Red28
134111.8
125127.9
596.5
Blue8
15431.2
25686.7
4089.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392306080100288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#4
27.90.8
17.2→16.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.5
408
#49
9.41.4
8.5→7.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
1341
#16
11.80.8
11.7→11.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.1
2568
#35
6.71.4
8.8→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
59
#45
6.50.8
8.4→7.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 5.3
1543
#61
1.21.4
7.7→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—