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Red0
80913.2
155710.5
152313.4
Blue12
2113.2
39512.2
187213.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3229010204050607080012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
13.42.6
12.810.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
21
#39
13.21.5
10.59.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
809
#26
13.22.6
10.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1872
#18
13.11.5
7.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1557
#47
10.52.6
8.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
395
#53
12.21.5
11.39.8
Auto
Teleop
End