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Red22
83215.4
13713.6
131916.4
Blue16
23627.8
24158.3
200711.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342204060802216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.9
10.49.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
2007
#14
11.60.6
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
832
#2
15.40.9
13.913.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
2415
#23
8.30.6
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1371
#35
3.60.9
8.37.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
2362
#42
7.82.6
9.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End