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Red24
14397.7
174615.5
11279.7
Blue18
19999.7
153313.0
10573.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290204060802418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.50.6
13.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
13.00.9
11.310.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
9.70.6
10.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1999
#15
9.70.9
7.66.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1439
#18
7.70.6
7.87.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
1057
#28
3.30.9
10.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End