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Red40
211911.5
137910.8
54713.1
Blue8
161211.2
24202.7
13713.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232001030405060408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
547
#29
13.11.4
9.410.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
1612
#20
11.21.0
7.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2119
#10
11.51.4
6.27.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.9
1371
#35
3.61.0
7.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
10.81.4
7.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
2420
#43
2.71.0
5.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End