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Red8
177112.5
18457.4
14397.7
Blue10
20802.4
17882.9
174615.5
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18280406080100810

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1771
#21
12.50.9
7.56.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.0
15.51.4
12.611.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1439
#18
7.70.9
7.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.8
1788
#30
2.91.4
6.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1845
#39
7.40.9
4.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
2080
#38
2.41.4
7.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End