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Red22
223111.9
263012.5
Blue18
169014.9
19468.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242315202530352218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2630
Unranked
12.50.0
12.212.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
1690
Unranked
14.90.1
15.115.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2231
Unranked
11.90.0
11.611.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
1946
Unranked
8.20.1
8.48.3
Auto
Teleop
End