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Red4
157425.1
19431.3
Blue20
19468.2
169014.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28230104050607080420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
25.10.4
25.525.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 10.2
1690
Unranked
14.90.1
15.215.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1943
Unranked
1.30.4
1.71.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.9
1946
Unranked
8.20.1
8.48.4
Auto
Teleop
End