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Red16
157425.1
157710.3
Blue0
263012.5
19431.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46100206080100120160

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1574
Unranked
25.11.3
28.527.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.6
2630
Unranked
12.50.7
12.311.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1577
Unranked
10.31.3
12.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.0
1943
Unranked
1.30.9
2.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End