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Red30
26691.7
169014.9
Blue4
22305.5
22134.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17110304050607080304

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
Unranked
14.90.7
14.315.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.4
2230
Unranked
5.50.5
6.45.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2669
Unranked
1.70.8
1.92.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.2
2213
Unranked
4.90.5
5.24.8
Auto
Teleop
End